资源约束与中国主导产业的选择——基于垂直联系视角Resource Constraint and Selection of Chinese Leading Industry:Based on Vertical Linkage Perspective
涂涛涛,马强
摘要(Abstract):
利用社会核算矩阵乘数相关理论与方法,基于2007年中国社会核算矩阵,本文探讨了引入资源约束条件下中国主导产业的解构。基于垂直联系视角,本文考察了非熟练劳动力、熟练劳动力以及土地等资源约束对主导产业界定的影响。研究结果表明:与无资源供给约束的情形相比,存在资源供给约束时修正后的前向联系与后向联系均较小。换句话说,资源供给约束的存在削弱了不同部门间的关联性,从而减弱了无资源约束下主导产业对整体国民经济的带动作用。同时,随着资源约束苛刻性的增加,主导产业的范围将呈逐渐减少的趋势。进一步的分析表明,不同类型的资源约束对各行业关联性的影响程度存在差异,即资源约束的类型也会影响主导产业的选择。
关键词(KeyWords): 资源约束;社会核算矩阵;垂直联系;主导产业
基金项目(Foundation): 国家社科基金一般项目“服务业总体规模、结构演进的历史趋势和内在机理研究”(项目编号:11BJL064);; 国家自然科学基金“中国农业全要素生产率增长:结构调整、比较优势与动态演进”(项目编号:71273103);; 教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划“中国农业全要素生产率若干专题研究”(项目编号:NCET-11-0647);; 湖北省社会科学基金项目“十二五”规划资助课题的资助
作者(Author): 涂涛涛,马强
DOI: 10.13269/j.cnki.ier.2012.06.005
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