生产者服务进口对制成品出口技术结构的影响The Influence of Producer Services Imports on the Export Technology Structure of Manufactured Goods
张如庆
摘要(Abstract):
本文首先运用跨国面板数据进行协整分析,考察了生产者服务进口与制成品出口技术结构的关系,结果表明生产者服务进口与制成品出口技术结构间存在长期均衡关系。接着本文以生产者服务业FDI为替代商业存在式服务进口的变量,运用2004~2010年省级面板数据,进一步检验了中国生产者服务进口对制成品出口技术结构的影响,研究发现生产者服务业FDI对我国制成品出口的技术结构有显著的促进作用。本文的结论是,加大生产者服务业的引资力度,扩大先进生产者服务进口,是提升制成品出口技术结构的重要途径。
关键词(KeyWords): 生产者服务进口;制成品;出口技术结构;协整检验;面板数据
基金项目(Foundation): 国家社会科学基金资助项目“生产者服务业外商直接投资与制成品出口技术结构升级研究”(项目编号:12CJY045)和“人口年龄结构、高储蓄率与外贸失衡的传导机制及相关政策研究”(项目编号:11CJY030);; 教育部人文社会科学研究项目“中国制成品出口结构变迁与经济效应”(项目编号:09YJC790001)和“国际贸易、技术变迁与扩大就业:目标与政策的统一”(项目编号:10YJC790166);; 安徽省软科学研究项目“安徽外向型经济发展对自主创新的影响研究”(项目编号:11020503079)阶段性成果
作者(Author): 张如庆
DOI: 10.13269/j.cnki.ier.2012.05.006
参考文献(References):
- [1]James R.Melvin,1989,“Trade in Producer Services:A Heckscher-ohlin Approach”,Journal of Political Economy,97(5):1180—1196.
- [2]Jones,R.W.,and H.Kierzkowski,1990,The Role of Services in Production and International Trade:A TheoreticalFramework,R.Jones and A.Krueger.The Political Economy of International Trade:Festschrift in Honor of Robert Bald-win,Basil Blackwell,Oxford.
- [3]Burgess,David F.,1990,Services as Intermediate Goods:The Issue of Trade Liberalization,R.W.Jones and Anne O.Krueger,The Political Economy International Trade,Basil Blackwell Ltd.,122—139.
- [4]Marrewijk,C.V.,J.Stibora,A.D.Vaal,and J.M.Viaene,1996,“Services Tradability,Trade Liberalization andForeign Direct Investment”,Economics,63:611—631.
- [5]Deardorff,Alan V.,2001,“International Provision of Trade Services,Trade,and Fragmentation”,Review of Internation-al Economics,9:233—248.
- [6]Joy Mazumder,Services Trade and Export Competitiveness:An Empirical Analysis,http://www4.fe.uc.pt/eefs/ab-stracts/nair-54.pdf.
- [7]Joy Mazumdar and Usha Nair-Reichert,2004,Does Service Trade Facilitate Goods Trade,presented at European Econom-ics and Finance Society Meeting,Gdansk,Poland,May.
- [8]Francois J.and Julia Woerz,2007,Producer Services,Manufacturing Linkages,and Trade,FIW Working Paper,series 002.
- [9]谢康,李赞.货物贸易与服务贸易互补性的实证分析——兼论中美贸易不平衡的实质[J].国际贸易问题,2000(9):49—54.
- [10]陈兆军.对服务贸易与货物贸易互补性问题的再研究[J].对外经济贸易大学学报,2001(4):48—53.
- [11]李静萍.影响国际服务贸易的宏观因素[J].经济理论与经济管理,2002(11):14—17.
- [12]夏晴.论货物贸易与服务贸易的协同发展[J].国际贸易问题,2004(8):17—21.
- [13]程南洋,余金花.中国货物贸易与服务贸易结构变动的相关性检验:1997—2005[J].亚太经济,2007(1):94—97.
- [14]胡景岩.货物贸易与服务贸易的相关性曲线[J].国际贸易,2008(6):36—38.
- [15]庄丽娟,陈翠兰.我国服务贸易与货物贸易的动态相关性研究——基于脉冲响应函数方法的实证分析[J].国际贸易问题,2009(2):54—60.
- [16]熊凤琴.生产者服务贸易自由化对我国商品出口的影响分析[J].南京财经大学学报,2010(4):26—31.
- [17]Rodrik,D.,2006,“What's So Special about China's Exports”,China&World Economics(72):603—633.
- [18]Schott,Peter K.,2006,The Relative Sophistication of Chinese Exports,NBER Working Paper,No.12173.
- [19]樊纲,关志雄,姚枝仲.国际贸易结构分析:贸易品的技术分布[J].经济研究,2006(8):70—80.
- [20]杜修立,王维国.中国出口贸易的技术结构及其变迁:1980—2003[J].经济研究,2007(7):137—151.
- [21]Levin,A.,C.F.Lin and C.S.J.Chu,2002,“Unit Root Tests in Panel Data,Asymptotic and Finite-sample Proper-ties”,Journal of Econometrics(108):1—24.
- [22]Breitung,J.,2000,The Local Power of Some Unit root Tests For panel Data,B.Baltagi.Advances in Econometrics:Nonstationary Panels,Panel Cointegration,and Dynamic Panels.Amsterdam JAI Press.
- [23]Im,K.S.,Pesaran,M.H.and Y.Shin,2003,“Testing for Unit Roots in Heterogeneous Panels”,Journal of Econo-metrics(115):53—74.
- [24]Maddala,G.S.and S.Wu,1999,“A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel Data and a New Simple Test”,Uxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics(61):631—652.
- [25]Choi,I.,2001,“Unit Root Tests for Panel Data”,Journal of International Money and Finance(20):249—272.
- [26]Pedroni,P.,1996,Fully Modified OLS for Heterogeneous Cointegrated Panels and the Aase of Purchasing Power Parity,Indiana University Working Paper in Economics,No.96-020.
- [27]Pedroni,P.,1997,Panel Cointegration:Asymptotic and Finite Sample Properties of Pooled Time Series Tests with anApplication to the PPP Hypothesis:New Results,Indiana University Working Paper in Economics.
- [28]Pedroni,P.,1999,Critical Values for Cointegration Tests in Heterogeneous Panels with Multiple Regressors,OxfordBulletin of Economics and Statistics,No.0305—9049:653—670.
- [29]Engle,R.and Granger,C.,1987,“Cointegration and Error Correction:Representation,Estimation,and Testing”,Econometrica(55):257—276.
- [30]黄建锋.服务贸易与经济增长:理论及实证研究[D].上海:上海社会科学院,2007:78—79.
- [31]程大中.中国生产者服务业的增长、结构变化及其影响——基于投入—产出法的分析[J].财贸经济,2006(10):45—52.
- [32]中国经济增长与宏观稳定课题组.资本化扩张与赶超型经济的技术进步[J].经济研究,2010(5):4—20.
- [33]唐宜红,王明荣.生产者服务、出口品技术结构和制造业出口商品结构优化[J].产业经济研究,2010(3):46—54.
- [34]高静,曹休宁.贸易中生产者服务业与制造业的融合与冲突[J].产业经济研究,2009(4):66—71.
- [35]牛青山.我国承接国际产业转移的现状与对策[J].山西大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2011(4):135—139.