集聚、贸易开放与全要素生产率增长——基于中国制造业行业的门槛效应检验Agglomeration,Trade Openness and TFP Growth:A Test of Threshold Effect on China's Manufacturing Branches
王丽丽
摘要(Abstract):
文章选取中国28个制造业行业作为研究对象,采用非线性关联的门槛模型分析方法,在贸易开放的视角下,对产业集聚与全要素生产率增长之间的非线性关系进行了考察。结果表明,在集聚促进生产率提高的过程中,有门槛效应的存在,随着贸易开放水平的提高,产业集聚对全要素生产率增长的促进作用将愈发显著。同时,在贸易开放水平较高时,产业集聚对生产率增长的促进作用主要体现在技术进步上,对技术效率的提高反而有负面影响,这可能与集聚水平过高所导致的负外部性有关。
关键词(KeyWords): 集聚;全要素生产率;贸易开放;门槛效应
基金项目(Foundation): 中国博士后科学基金资助(项目编号:20100480157)
作者(Author): 王丽丽
DOI: 10.13269/j.cnki.ier.2012.01.004
参考文献(References):
- [1]Segal,D.,1976,“Are there Returns to Scale in City Size?”,Review of Economics and Statistics,58:339—350.
- [2]Moomaw,R.L.,1985,“Firm Location and City Size:Reduced Productivity Advantages as a Factor in the Decline ofManufacturing in Urban Areas”,Journal of Urban Economics,17:73—89.
- [3]Tabuchi T.,1986,“Existenee and Stablility of City Size Distribution in the Gravity and Logit Models,”Environment andPlanning,18:1375—1389.
- [4]Fogarty,M.S.and G.A.Garofalo,1988,“Urban Spatial Structure and Productivity Growth in the Manufacturing Sectorof Cities”,Journal of Urban Economics,23:60—70.
- [5]Ciccone,A.and Hall,R.E.,1996,“Productivity and the Density of Economic Activity”,American Economic Review,86:54—70.
- [6]Dekle,R.and J.Eaton,1999,“Agglomeration and Land Rents:Evidence from the Prefectures”,Journal of Urban Eco-nomics,46(2):200—214.
- [7]Ottaviano,G.I.P.and D.Pinelli,2006,“Market Potential and Productivity:Evidence from Finnish Regions”,Re-gional Science and Urban Economics,36:636—657.
- [8]Moomaw,R.L.,1983,“Is Population Scale a Worthwhile Surrogate for Business Agglomeration Economies?”RegionalScience and Urban Economics,13:525—545.
- [9]Capello,R.,2002,“Entrepreneurship and Spatial Externalities:Theory and Measurement”,The Annals of Regional Sci-ence,36:387—402.
- [10]Forni,M.and S.Paba,2002,“Knowledge Spillovers and the Growth of Local Industries”,Journal of Industrial Eco-nomics,50:151—171.
- [11]Desmet,K.and M.Fafchamps,2003,What Are Falling Transport Costs Doing to Spatial Concentration across USCounties,CEPR Discussion Paper,3853.
- [12]Beeson,P.,1987,“Total Factor Productivity Growth and Agglomeration Economics in Manufacturing”,Journal of Re-gional Science,27:183—199.
- [13]Bode,E.,2004,Productivity Effects of Agglomeration Externalities,Working paper,http://cournot2.u-strasbg.fr/sew/papers_sew/Bode_Eckhardt.pdf.
- [14]Rice,Patricia and Venables,Anthony J.,2004,Spatial Determinants of Productivity:Analysis for the Regions of GreatBritain,CEPR Discussion Paper 4527.
- [15]Bautista,A.D.,2006,Agglomeration Economies,Economic Growth and the New Economic Geography in Mexico,EconWPA 0508001,http://129.3.20.41/eps/urb/papers/0508/0508001.pdf.
- [16]Arup,M.,1999,“Agglomeration Economics as Manifested in Technical Efficiency at the Firm Level”,Journal of Ur-ban Economics,45:490—500.
- [17]Futagami,K.and Ohkusa,Y.,2003,“The Quality Ladder and Product Variety:Larger Economies May Not Grow Fas-ter”,Japanese Economic Review,54:336—351.
- [18]Melitz,M.J.,2003,“The Impact of Trade on Intra-Industry Reallocations and Aggregate Industry Productivity”,Econ-ometrica,71(6):1695—1725.
- [19]Bernard,A.B.,Eaton,J.,Jensen,J.B.and Kortum,S.,2003,“Plants and Productivity in International Trade”,American Economic Review,93(4):1268—1292.
- [20]Melitz,M.J.and Ottaviano,G.I.P.,2005,Market Size,Trade,and Productivity,NBER Working Paper,NO.11393.
- [21]Greenaway,David and Kneller,Richard,2008,“Exporting,Productivity and Agglomeration”,European Economic Re-view,52(5):919—939.
- [22]Clerides,S.K.,Lach,S.and Tybout,J.R.,1998,“Is Learning by Exporting Important?Micro-Dynamic Evidencefrom Colombia,Mexico,and Morocco”,Quarterly Journal of Economics,13(3):903—947.
- [23]Hansen,B.E.,1999,“Threshold Effects in Non-dynamic Panels:Estimation,Testing,and Inference”,Journal of E-conometrics,93(2):345—368.